Showing posts with label Games. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Games. Show all posts

Thursday, March 3, 2011

4-5-6 in Cee-Lo!

The odds of rolling a 4, 5, 6 in Cee-Lo are 1 in 36 (2.7%)


You're either going to get this stat or you're not depending on if you were ever ghetto enough to learn about the game Cee-Lo. I was! Cee-Lo is a dice game that can be played in hallways, back alleys, desktops, basically anywhere there are 3x dice, a hard surface and gravity. It is pure gambling and all luck and if you want to learn about the rules go here (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cee-lo). If you want to play, go to jail or Compton.
In Cee-Lo, rolling a 4, 5, 6 is an automatic win. If you roll it, game over, you win. BUT. Rolling a 1, 2, 3 is an automatic loss so go figure. So what are the odds? This is a simple problem really.
Let's say you roll them separately (NOT my favored Cee-Lo strategy). On the first die you can roll a 4 a 5 or a 6 giving odds of 3/6 or 1/2. Let's say it's a 4. Next die must be a 5 or a 6 giving you 2/6 odds (1/3). Say it's a 5. That leaves the last die a 1/6 chance that you will get the remaining # (6) you need for a 4,5,6. Still with me? Now multiply those odds:
1/2 x 1/3 x 1/6 = 1/36
Huzzah! You did it, now collect all the singles in the pile in front of you and take off before you get arrested or jacked cause if you're playing Cee-Lo, you're probably in the ghetto. Godspeed!

Friday, November 5, 2010

Roulette!

The odds that you will hit a single number on a Single Spin of the
(American) Roulette
wheel are 1 in 38. (2.6%).


Ahhhh gambling. I pretend to know what's going on at the roulette table but I don't. Pick a number and pray you get lucky! It's really like a mini lotto. I think. I don't know cause if I'm ever near a table my dopamine receptors are going haywire from the flashing lights, clanging noises, and cocktail waitresses attire, or lack thereof.
I know you can bet on random stuff but this stat is just putting $1 on your favorite number 1-36. American Roulette has 2 dead numbers (0 and 00) which mean the house wins automatically if it lands on either. Ergo - $1 on 1 number is 37 to 1 against and if you get lucky the casino will pay you 35 to 1. What does this mean. It means enjoy the free drinks and those cocktail dresses cause like the lotto, you're better off paying someone else that dollar to kick you in the nuts instead of gambling with it. Nahhhhh, I'm just playing. It means that for every $1 you bet playing roulette you should EXPECT to lose $0.05 cents every time. So...bet small and make up your losses by getting shit faced on the free booze. I'm totally serious now.



Monday, October 11, 2010

Snake Eyes!

The odds that a snake will bite your eyes are.... scratch that-

The odds of Rolling Snake Eyes (1,1) in a single roll at a Craps Table are approximately 1 in 36 (2.78%)
Apparently craps is one of the better games to play when it comes to odds against the Casino but I'm pretty much talking out of my ass since I have no idea what's going on when I slide up to a table. Yet I always go back. Why? You roll dice and people cheer! Random busty women sidle up to you and will blow on your hands! People frantically place chips all over a beautifully covered felt spread and the dealer has a little backscratcher he uses to collect and give you back the dice!
No seriously though, I have no idea what's going on with this game but apparently rolling snake eyes is a bad thing? Yeah...but....Papa needs a new pair of shoes!!!!

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Hat Trick!


If you saw Wayne Gretzky play one professional hockey game at random in his career, the odds that he would score a Hat Trick were approximately 1 in 30 ( 3.7%)


The Great One...Will there be another like him? I doubt it now that professional sports have specialized so much but time will tell. With just about every other record in the book, Gretzky has more 3+ goal games than anyone at 50. Still not as cool as the record for Gordie Howe hat tricks (1 goal, 1 assist, 1 fight) but I'll give him props anyway. Hear that Gretzky??? Props.



Monday, July 12, 2010

Hitting for the Cycle!

The odds that an average player will hit an 'unnatural' cycle are approximately
1 in every 4,400 games (0.02%)
~ 1 in every 27 seasons
(single, double, triple, and home run (any order)
in 1 game)




















You may be surprised to learn that players hit for the cycle more often than this statistic predicts. Let me explain.
Jose Reyes to the left is a decent hitter, but the dude's also a cheetah. He can make it to third in 20 seconds flat with time to make a phone call. As a leadoff hitter he sometimes also gets that 5th at bat. To the right, no it's not a mascot, it's Mo Vaughn. God bless those ankles because he wasn't a career DH.
The point is that Jose Reyes may hit for the cycle a few times in his career while it would normally take two errors and animal interference on the diamond to get Mo Vaughn to third.

Lesson: Mo Vaughn ruins statistics.
(Real Lesson: Averaging statistics sometimes doesn't work. And players who get more extra base hits have a much higher individual probability of hitting for the cycle than Mo Vaughn)



Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Italia!

UPDATE: The current odds that Italy will repeat as World Cup Champions are approximately 1 in 14 (7.14%)


I couldn't find a proper picture of an Italian player diving- the cornerstone of their strategy being to roll around on the ground, grab a knee in pretend agony and groan every time an opposing player comes near them. Instead, enjoy this legit photo of Zidane punking an italian for real, probably to see what happens when one actually gets hurt. Zidane's a dick too though. Go Argentina!

(http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/11/world-cup-2010-south-afri_n_590550.html#s93289) The bookies added two points, which is why you never trust a bookie.

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Powerball!

The odds of hitting thePowerball Jackpotare
1 in 195, 249, 054. (0.0000005 %)















Coming soon to a city and state near you! New ways to throw away hard earned money! New voluntary taxes based on hollow dreams and false hopes! New ways to take advantage of people's inability to process really large numbers! And possibly even new trailer park multi-millionaires!!! We should all be so lucky.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Blackjack!

The odds of being dealt a Blackjack from a new shuffled deck are approximately1 in 21 ( 4.83 %)


Still feel special about getting paid 3 to 2? One day Ima find this Mr. 'House' dude that keeps taking everyones money and kick his ass.



Monday, March 8, 2010

Royal Flush!

The odds of being dealt a Royal Flush in five cards are 1 in 649,739 (0.000154%)

Mega Millions!

The odds of winning the Mega Millions Jackpot are
1 in 175,711,536 (0.0000005 %)
"The lottery is a tax on people who are bad at math". Yup.

(http://www.nylottery.org/ny/nyStore/cgi-bin/ProdSubEV_Cat_403_SubCat_337550_NavRoot_320.htm?)